The Daily Gamecock

Polls show Clinton tied with Trump in SC

Two recent polls have Hillary Clinton tied with Donald Trump right here in South Carolina.

The first poll, conducted by the South Carolina Democratic Party, had the pair tied at 39 percent. The second poll, released Monday by Reuters/IPSOS, showed another tie at 46 percent. 

While it's important to note that one of the polls is an internal SCDP poll, the numbers are a bad sign for a Trump campaign that's faced heavy criticism for shortcomings when it comes to simple campaign organizing. The chances of Clinton actually winning the state are still slim, but Trump's struggles in most swing states mean he can't afford to have to waste time working his base in the South.

Recent polls have also shown an irregularly close race in the neighboring state of Georgia, which has markedly similar demographics to South Carolina.

Despite these new numbers, Trump still has a lead in South Carolina according to the most recent RealClearPolitics average.  He also still has a 69.3 percent chance of bagging South Carolina's nine electoral votes come November, according to FiveThirtyEight's polls-only election forecast.

Past voting trends are also on Trump's side. The last time a Democrat won the Palmetto State was 1976, when Jimmy Carter, a Southerner, defeated incumbent Gerald Ford. 

Clinton holds a five-point lead over Trump in RCP's national averageand has around a 75 percent chance of winning the election in FiveThirtyEight's polls-only forecast. 


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